CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.24/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.76
+9% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
21.04.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
26.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
07.06.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
22.04.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; CSKA 1948 Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 57% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 43%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.40 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 40%, draw 31%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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