Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cherno More Varna v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals
Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Spartak Varna
BUL1
Cherno More Varna 1-1 Spartak Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Cherno More Varna and Spartak Varna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Cherno More Varna carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cherno More Varna had 69% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 31%, shots finished 19-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.00 for Spartak Varna.
What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna?
Cherno More Varna 1-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Spartak Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 58%, draw 24%, Spartak Varna 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.