CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.56/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.31
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
08.03.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
19.09.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
21.04.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
26.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
07.06.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
4-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia swept aside Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 53% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 47%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 46%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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