Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 37%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.61/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.86
-47% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
19.09.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
21.04.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
26.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
07.06.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
22.04.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia squeezed past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day CSKA 1948 Sofia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 48% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 52%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.17 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 37%, draw 29%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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