Levski Krumovgrad 1-2 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.12/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.22
+32% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2025 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
31.08.2024 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
1-2
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia edged past Levski Krumovgrad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Levski Krumovgrad at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 46% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 54%, shots finished 10-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Levski Krumovgrad and 0.50 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Septemvri Sofia?

Levski Krumovgrad 1-2 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Krumovgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 46%, draw 24%, Septemvri Sofia 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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