Botev Vratsa 2-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
78%
-13.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.3pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.2pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.75
-54% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 4-2 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
01.11.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 3-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
24.07.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
20.06.2019 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
13.06.2018 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-4 HT 1-3 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
2-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
41% Ball Possession 59%
23 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa edged past Slavia Sofia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 41% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 59%, shots finished 23-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Botev Vratsa and 2.00 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia?

Botev Vratsa 2-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 64%, draw 21%, Slavia Sofia 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Over 2.5
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