Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 30%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.33
-9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2026 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 1-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULK
03.02.2026 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULSK
19.09.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.05.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
09.02.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
17.08.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0
AWAY Levski Sofia
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad nicked a narrow win over Levski Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 60% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 40%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 43%, draw 23%, Levski Sofia 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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