Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 30%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2026 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BULSK
19.09.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.05.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
09.02.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
17.08.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
26.05.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0
AWAY Levski Sofia
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad nicked a narrow win over Levski Sofia 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 44% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 56%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.67 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 47%, draw 22%, Levski Sofia 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BULK More Bulgaria - Cup
11 Feb 2026
16:00 Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali Analysis →