Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botev Vratsa v Arda Kardzhali — Team-Based Signals
Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Arda Kardzhali
HAZ
Botev Vratsa 2-3 Arda Kardzhali — Actual Match Statistics
Arda Kardzhali nicked a narrow win over Botev Vratsa 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Botev Vratsa had 55% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 45%, shots finished 11-9.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.20 for Arda Kardzhali.
What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali?
Botev Vratsa 2-3 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Arda Kardzhali?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 31%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.