Levski Sofia 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 49%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.18
-100% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
26.05.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
01.10.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-1 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.06.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-2 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
2-1
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia squeezed past Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Levski Sofia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 33% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 67%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Levski Sofia and 2.00 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Levski Sofia 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 34%, draw 27%, Ludogorets Razgrad 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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