CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-4 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.14/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.06
-28% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
15.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
21.10.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
10.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BULK
26.04.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-3 HT 1-3 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-4
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 swept aside CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA 1948 Sofia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 69% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 31%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.00 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-4 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 42%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 31%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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