Botev Plovdiv 1-1 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
73%
-17.2pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.2pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
2.26/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.98
+9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
10.12.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
12.08.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1-1
AWAY Hebar 1918
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
18 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv and Hebar 1918 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Botev Plovdiv at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 63% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 37%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Botev Plovdiv had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 0.33 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Hebar 1918?

Botev Plovdiv 1-1 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 55%, draw 27%, Hebar 1918 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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