Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Super Cup, 3 Feb 2026

📅03/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.09.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.05.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
09.02.2025 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
17.08.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
26.05.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.04.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-1 HT 1-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0
AWAY Levski Sofia
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad nicked a narrow win over Levski Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ludogorets Razgrad found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 60% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 40%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.83 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - Super Cup on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 40%, draw 24%, Levski Sofia 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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