Always Ready 2-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.9
Over
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.33
2-3
44%
1.78
4-5
20%
3.55
6+
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.31
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
15%
4.06
X/2
12%
8.88
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
5%
24.0
2/2
9%
6.88
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Always Ready The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin The Market 25%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.58/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.82
-36% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +62%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
58.0 Crosses 17.7
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Always Ready
2-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.88 xG 0.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
351 Passes 377
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Always Ready vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Always Ready saw off Independiente Medellin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Always Ready as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Always Ready had 48% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 52%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.88 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Always Ready vs Independiente Medellin?

Always Ready 2-0 Independiente Medellin in the Copa Sudamericana on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Always Ready vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Always Ready win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Always Ready 52%, draw 22%, Independiente Medellin 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Always Ready), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Always Ready) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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