Real Tomayapo 0-2 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No Pick
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.62
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.48
6+
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.57
1/2
4%
28.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
8%
6.95
X/2
15%
4.39
X/X
13%
4.03
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.92
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Tomayapo
0-2
AWAY Delfin
0.73 xG 2.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
309 Passes 225
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Tomayapo vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin got the better of Real Tomayapo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Delfin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Real Tomayapo had 56% of the ball to Delfin's 44%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 0.73 to 2.59.

What was the final score of Real Tomayapo vs Delfin?

Real Tomayapo 0-2 Delfin in the Copa Sudamericana on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Tomayapo vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Tomayapo 32%, draw 25%, Delfin 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Delfin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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