Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.34
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.54
6+
10%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.57
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
14%
8.62
X/2
15%
4.11
X/X
13%
4.97
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.35
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+10.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 56%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+112% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
0-2
AWAY Racing Club
0.99 xG 1.58
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
245 Passes 410
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club beat Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Racing Club found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 41% of the ball to Racing Club's 59%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.99 to 1.58.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Racing Club?

Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 Racing Club in the Copa Sudamericana on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 34%, draw 27%, Racing Club 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ BTTS Yes
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