Fransa (K) 1-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
80%
-20.2pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.7pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
458 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa (K)
1-0
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
2.02 xG 0.05
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
426 Passes 110
83% Pass Accuracy 59%
37 Box Touches 4
28 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fransa (K) vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa (K) edged past İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fransa (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Fransa (K) had 74% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)'s 26%, shots finished 22-1, expected goals 2.02 to 0.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fransa (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Fransa (K) vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)?

Fransa (K) 1-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa (K) vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Fransa (K) 59%, draw 23%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fransa (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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