05/04/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Ukrayna (K) vs Kosova (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
77%
14%
Draw
15%
11%
Away Win
8%
40%
Under 2.5
39%
60%
Over 2.5
61%
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
54%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ukrayna (K) v Kosova (K) — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ukrayna (K)
EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kosova (K)
EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
61%
Ball Possession
39%
19
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
3
421 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
232 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ukrayna (K) vs Kosova (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ukrayna (K) got the better of Kosova (K) 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ukrayna (K) as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ukrayna (K) vs Kosova (K)?
Ukrayna (K) 2-0 Kosova (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ukrayna (K) vs Kosova (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ukrayna (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna (K) 75%, draw 14%, Kosova (K) 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ukrayna (K))
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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KAVŞE
More European Women's Championship Qualifiers
5 Apr 2024