AFC Telford United 1-1 Spalding United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spalding United EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.23/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.41
+19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spalding United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
24.08.2024 Spalding United Spalding United 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Spalding United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United and Spalding United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Telford United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Spalding United?

AFC Telford United 1-1 Spalding United in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Spalding United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 45%, draw 24%, Spalding United 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
5 Apr 2025
17:00 Hyde United vs Blyth Spartans Analysis →
17:00 Leiston vs Banbury United Analysis →
17:00 Barwell vs Biggleswade Town Analysis →
17:00 Alvechurch vs Royston Town Analysis →
17:00 Bedford Town vs Harborough Town Analysis →
17:00 Redditch United vs Stratford Town Analysis →