Spalding United 0-1 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

Spalding United
0-1 HT 0-0
AFC Telford United
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Spalding United vs AFC Telford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spalding United v AFC Telford United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United nicked a narrow win over Spalding United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs AFC Telford United?

Spalding United 0-1 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 31%, draw 25%, AFC Telford United 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ BTTS No
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