Stourbridge 2-0 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.59/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.17
-8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.03.2024 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
25.11.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-2 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge got the better of AFC Sudbury 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stourbridge as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stourbridge had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stourbridge and 1.00 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury?

Stourbridge 2-0 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 49%, draw 26%, AFC Sudbury 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stourbridge), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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