Ashton United 3-0 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.14/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/2.41
-39% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
428 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Workington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.12.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-2 HT 1-1 Workington Workington İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Workington Workington 5-0 HT 4-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
3-0
AWAY Workington
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United ran out comfortable winners over Workington 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ashton United had 58% of the ball to Workington's 42%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Workington led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ashton United and 3.50 for Workington.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Workington?

Ashton United 3-0 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 45%, draw 29%, Workington 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ashton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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