Lancaster City 1-1 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.15
Over 2.5
67%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.75
No
38%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.1pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.1pp
33%
Under 2.5
43%
-9.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
57%
+9.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.4pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.14/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.84
-45% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Matlock Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.03.2024 Matlock Town Matlock Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
03.02.2024 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
28.01.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 0-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
24.09.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
05.02.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
23.10.2021 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-2 HT 0-1 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City and Matlock Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Lancaster City carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lancaster City and 1.00 for Matlock Town.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Matlock Town?

Lancaster City 1-1 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 58%, draw 19%, Matlock Town 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lancaster City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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