Merthyr Town vs Hanwell Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merthyr Town v Hanwell Town — Team-Based Signals
Merthyr Town vs Hanwell Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Hanwell Town
İNGNLP
1-4
HT 0-3
Merthyr Town
İNGNLP
3-1
HT 3-1
Hanwell Town
İNGNLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Merthyr Town
İNGNLP
Merthyr Town 2-1 Hanwell Town — Actual Match Statistics
Merthyr Town edged past Hanwell Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Merthyr Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Merthyr Town had 68% of the ball to Hanwell Town's 32%, shots finished 17-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Merthyr Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Merthyr Town and 0.50 for Hanwell Town.
What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Hanwell Town?
Merthyr Town 2-1 Hanwell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Hanwell Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 53%, draw 22%, Hanwell Town 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merthyr Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.