Bedford Town 1-1 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.80/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.44
+25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bedford Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Harborough Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.08.2024 Harborough Town Harborough Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Bedford Town Bedford Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bedford Town
1-1
AWAY Harborough Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town and Harborough Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Harborough Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bedford Town had 52% of the ball to Harborough Town's 48%, shots finished 13-21.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Harborough Town?

Bedford Town 1-1 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 36%, draw 22%, Harborough Town 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harborough Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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