Harborough Town 2-1 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town nicked a narrow win over Bedford Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; Harborough Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs Bedford Town?

Harborough Town 2-1 Bedford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bedford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 33%, draw 32%, Bedford Town 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bedford Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bedford Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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