Bromsgrove Sporting 3-1 Lowestoft Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
1.46/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/3.38
-15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lowestoft Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
24.08.2024 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Bromsgrove Sporting Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
29.01.2022 Bromsgrove Sporting Bromsgrove Sporting 3-1 HT 1-0 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town İNGNLP
09.10.2021 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bromsgrove Sporting vs Lowestoft Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromsgrove Sporting got the better of Lowestoft Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bromsgrove Sporting as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lowestoft Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bromsgrove Sporting and 2.00 for Lowestoft Town.

What was the final score of Bromsgrove Sporting vs Lowestoft Town?

Bromsgrove Sporting 3-1 Lowestoft Town in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Lowestoft Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromsgrove Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bromsgrove Sporting 46%, draw 25%, Lowestoft Town 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bromsgrove Sporting), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bromsgrove Sporting) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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