Havant & Waterlooville 3-2 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.1pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 18%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
3.19/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.65
+53% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
436 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havant & Waterlooville
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.08.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 1-1 HT 0-1 Havant & Waterlooville Havant & Waterlooville İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Havant & Waterlooville vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville edged past Swindon Supermarine 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Havant & Waterlooville as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Havant & Waterlooville vs Swindon Supermarine?

Havant & Waterlooville 3-2 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havant & Waterlooville vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havant & Waterlooville win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Havant & Waterlooville 60%, draw 19%, Swindon Supermarine 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Havant & Waterlooville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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