Arlanda 1-2 United Nordic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

Arlanda
1-2 HT 1-1
United Nordic
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - 1st Division – 2025

Arlanda vs United Nordic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arlanda v United Nordic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY United Nordic EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Arlanda 1-2 United Nordic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arlanda
1-2
AWAY United Nordic
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs United Nordic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United Nordic edged past Arlanda 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had United Nordic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Arlanda had 44% of the ball to United Nordic's 56%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs United Nordic?

Arlanda 1-2 United Nordic in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs United Nordic?

Before kick-off our model rated an United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 35%, draw 20%, United Nordic 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (United Nordic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (United Nordic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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