Gefle 1-0 Team TG FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
63%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Gefle win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Team TG FF EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.07/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/3.11
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
464 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Team TG FF
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2022 Team TG FF Team TG FF 0-2 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
14.05.2022 Gefle Gefle 3-0 HT 1-0 Team TG FF Team TG FF İSÇ3
11.10.2020 Team TG FF Team TG FF 1-5 HT 0-4 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
17.06.2020 Gefle Gefle 2-1 HT 0-1 Team TG FF Team TG FF İSÇ3
08.09.2019 Team TG FF Team TG FF 0-3 HT 0-2 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
28.01.2018 Gefle Gefle 2-2 HT 2-2 Team TG FF Team TG FF HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
1-0
AWAY Team TG FF
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Team TG FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle edged past Team TG FF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gefle as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gefle had 58% of the ball to Team TG FF's 42%, shots finished 11-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gefle had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Gefle and 0.67 for Team TG FF.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Team TG FF?

Gefle 1-0 Team TG FF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Team TG FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Gefle 63%, draw 20%, Team TG FF 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gefle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gefle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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