Haninge 5-1 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
15%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haninge EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 54%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.08/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.36
-17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haninge
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 4-2 HT 3-0 Haninge Haninge İSÇ3
15.05.2022 Haninge Haninge 1-4 HT 0-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
04.10.2020 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-2 HT 1-1 Haninge Haninge İSÇ3
29.08.2020 Haninge Haninge 2-4 HT 1-2 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haninge
5-1
AWAY Vasalund IF
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Haninge vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haninge swept aside Vasalund IF 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vasalund IF at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Haninge had 57% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 43%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vasalund IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Haninge and 3.50 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of Haninge vs Vasalund IF?

Haninge 5-1 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haninge vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Haninge 29%, draw 24%, Vasalund IF 47%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasalund IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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