IK Sirius 0-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.1
1/2
5%
25.0
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
11%
7.12
X/2
9%
4.99
X/X
15%
4.8
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.94
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-9.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.34/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.26
+9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.4 Crosses 18.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
470 Passes 371
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
14.04.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
04.11.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-4 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
09.04.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
04.09.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
30.04.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 4-0 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
0-1
AWAY Djurgarden
0.51 xG 1.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
390 Passes 363
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden squeezed past IK Sirius 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Djurgarden found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, IK Sirius had 52% of the ball to Djurgarden's 48%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.51 to 1.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Djurgarden's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IK Sirius and 1.67 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Djurgarden?

IK Sirius 0-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 37%, draw 28%, Djurgarden 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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