IK Sirius 0-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.29
6+ Goals
13%
11.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.18
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.16
X/2
11%
6.35
X/X
13%
4.74
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
23%
4.27
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.82/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.13
+23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.7 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
464 Passes 389
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
04.11.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-4 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
09.04.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
04.09.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
30.04.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 4-0 HT 2-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
29.08.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
0-1
AWAY Djurgarden
1.15 xG 1.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
466 Passes 257
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 28
34 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden edged past IK Sirius 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IK Sirius had 61% of the ball to Djurgarden's 39%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 1.15 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IK Sirius and 1.50 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Djurgarden?

IK Sirius 0-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 34%, draw 26%, Djurgarden 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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