Hacken 1-1 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Aug 2024

Hacken
1-1 HT 1-0
IFK Varnamo
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hacken vs IFK Varnamo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.32
X/2
11%
9.43
X/X
13%
5.84
2/1
8%
20.85
2/2
12%
6.43
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hacken v IFK Varnamo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.81/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.74
+28% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +90%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.9 Crosses 12.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Hacken vs IFK Varnamo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
4W-1D-1L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
410 Passes 419
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
42 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.07.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-2 HT 0-2 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
22.07.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
29.04.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 2-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
27.08.2022 Hacken Hacken 4-1 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
09.05.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 1-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
18.02.2018 Hacken Hacken 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK

Hacken 1-1 IFK Varnamo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
1-1
AWAY IFK Varnamo
0.92 xG 1.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
571 Passes 261
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hacken vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken and IFK Varnamo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hacken at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Hacken had 65% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 35%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.92 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hacken and 1.00 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Hacken vs IFK Varnamo?

Hacken 1-1 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hacken 44%, draw 26%, IFK Varnamo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hacken), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hacken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
25 Aug 2024
15:00 IK Sirius vs Djurgarden Analysis →
15:00 Elfsborg vs Göteborg Analysis →
17:30 AIK vs Brommapojkarna Analysis →