Elfsborg 3-1 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
11%
4.25
X/2
9%
9.05
X/X
12%
5.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
2/2
11%
6.46
2/X
10%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.85/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.65
+16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
21.1 Crosses 22.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Göteborg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
30.10.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-2 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
16.07.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
03.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-3 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
22.05.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
13.03.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
3-1
AWAY Göteborg
1.44 xG 0.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 4
239 Passes 354
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 16
36 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg got the better of Göteborg 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Elfsborg had 44% of the ball to Göteborg's 56%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Elfsborg and 0.83 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Göteborg?

Elfsborg 3-1 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 44%, draw 30%, Göteborg 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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