AIK 2-1 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.23
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.32
X/2 EV+ ✗
13%
9.3
X/X
15%
5.49
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
6%
6.49
2/X
5%
13.95
Value flag · X/2 at 9.3 — our 13% vs market 7.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +29%
1.44/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.27
-14% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.7 Crosses 24.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
430 Passes 376
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-2 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
12.08.2023 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
01.07.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-2 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.03.2019 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 2-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna HAZ
19.08.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
22.07.2018 AIK AIK 5-1 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
2-1
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.85 xG 0.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 Passes 399
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AIK vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK nicked a narrow win over Brommapojkarna 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, AIK had 45% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 55%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.85 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AIK's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AIK and 1.17 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of AIK vs Brommapojkarna?

AIK 2-1 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AIK 48%, draw 27%, Brommapojkarna 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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