Alfaro vs Real Sociedad III Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfaro v Real Sociedad III — Team-Based Signals
Alfaro vs Real Sociedad III Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Alfaro
İS4
3-1
HT 2-0
Real Sociedad III
İS4
Alfaro 1-0 Real Sociedad III — Actual Match Statistics
Alfaro nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad III 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alfaro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alfaro had 49% of the ball to Real Sociedad III's 51%, shots finished 10-9.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alfaro and 2.00 for Real Sociedad III.
What was the final score of Alfaro vs Real Sociedad III?
Alfaro 1-0 Real Sociedad III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Real Sociedad III?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfaro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 43%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad III 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.