Colonia Moscardo 0-2 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 32%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.83/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.19
+42% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colonia Moscardo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mostoles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 6
24.11.2024 Mostoles 3-1 HT 2-0 Colonia Moscardo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colonia Moscardo
0-2
AWAY Mostoles
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colonia Moscardo vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles beat Colonia Moscardo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Colonia Moscardo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Colonia Moscardo had 54% of the ball to Mostoles's 46%, shots finished 17-13.

What was the final score of Colonia Moscardo vs Mostoles?

Colonia Moscardo 0-2 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colonia Moscardo vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colonia Moscardo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Colonia Moscardo 45%, draw 23%, Mostoles 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Colonia Moscardo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colonia Moscardo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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