Real Sociedad III 2-2 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.52/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.99
+18% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad III
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Alfaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.01.2023 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III 3-1 HT 0-1 Alfaro Alfaro İS4
10.09.2022 Alfaro Alfaro 3-1 HT 2-0 Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
2-2
AWAY Alfaro
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad III and Alfaro shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Sociedad III at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 58% of the ball to Alfaro's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Sociedad III and 2.00 for Alfaro.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs Alfaro?

Real Sociedad III 2-2 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad III win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 44%, draw 28%, Alfaro 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad III) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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