CD Guadalajara 2-0 CD Coria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Coria EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.55/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.49
-5% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
2W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Coria
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 CD Coria CD Coria 0-3 HT 0-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
22.01.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 4-0 HT 3-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
04.09.2022 CD Coria CD Coria 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-0
AWAY CD Coria
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs CD Coria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara got the better of CD Coria 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 43% of the ball to CD Coria's 57%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Guadalajara had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CD Guadalajara and 0.67 for CD Coria.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs CD Coria?

CD Guadalajara 2-0 CD Coria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs CD Coria?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 50%, draw 27%, CD Coria 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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