CD Coria 0-3 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Coria EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.00/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.28
-10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
216 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Coria
1W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 4-0 HT 3-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
04.09.2022 CD Coria CD Coria 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Coria
0-3
AWAY CD Guadalajara
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
7 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CD Coria vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara cruised past CD Coria 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day CD Guadalajara made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Coria had 45% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 55%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Coria and 2.00 for CD Guadalajara.

What was the final score of CD Coria vs CD Guadalajara?

CD Coria 0-3 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Coria vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CD Coria 34%, draw 30%, CD Guadalajara 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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