Talavera CF vs Illescas Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Talavera CF v Illescas — Team-Based Signals
Talavera CF vs Illescas Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Talavera CF
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Talavera CF 1-1 Illescas — Actual Match Statistics
Talavera CF and Illescas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Talavera CF at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Talavera CF had 55% of the ball to Illescas's 45%, shots finished 15-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Talavera CF and 0.50 for Illescas.
What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Illescas?
Talavera CF 1-1 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Illescas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 51%, draw 26%, Illescas 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Talavera CF), BTTS No went the other way.