Team Altamura 1-2 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
35%
+7.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Team Altamura EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.04/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.83
-10% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Team Altamura
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Picerno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 1-0 Team Altamura İTC
18.08.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-3 HT 1-0 Team Altamura İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Team Altamura
1-2
AWAY Picerno
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Team Altamura vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno squeezed past Team Altamura 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Picerno as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Team Altamura had 34% of the ball to Picerno's 66%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Team Altamura and 1.50 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Team Altamura vs Picerno?

Team Altamura 1-2 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Team Altamura vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Team Altamura 30%, draw 28%, Picerno 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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