FeralpiSalo 1-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.53/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.10
-12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-3 HT 1-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
14.11.2015 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 2-1 HT 1-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
01.05.2015 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 2-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
20.12.2014 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-3 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
29.10.2014 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTCK
19.01.2014 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
1-1
AWAY Lumezzane
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo and Lumezzane couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FeralpiSalo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 53% of the ball to Lumezzane's 47%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.67 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Lumezzane?

FeralpiSalo 1-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 48%, draw 30%, Lumezzane 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FeralpiSalo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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