Sestri Levante 1-2 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.56
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
0.87/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.54
-21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Milan II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Milan II Milan II 2-2 HT 2-1 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
1-2
AWAY Milan II
61% Ball Possession 39%
1 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II nicked a narrow win over Sestri Levante 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Milan II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 61% of the ball to Milan II's 39%, shots finished 1-1.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Milan II?

Sestri Levante 1-2 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 34%, draw 26%, Milan II 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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