Milan II 2-2 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
4.92
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 23%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.64
-100% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
2-2
AWAY Sestri Levante
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Milan II vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II and Sestri Levante shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Milan II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milan II had 49% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 51%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Milan II vs Sestri Levante?

Milan II 2-2 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Milan II 44%, draw 28%, Sestri Levante 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milan II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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