ACR Messina 0-1 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.86
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.25/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.26
+8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 2-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
08.10.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
0-1
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio edged past ACR Messina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Sorrento Calcio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, ACR Messina had 55% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 45%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ACR Messina and 0.50 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Sorrento Calcio?

ACR Messina 0-1 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 35%, draw 29%, Sorrento Calcio 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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