Crotone 2-1 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +27%
1.54/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.26
-12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
440 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-1
AWAY Juventus II
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone edged past Juventus II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 52% of the ball to Juventus II's 48%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Juventus II?

Crotone 2-1 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Crotone 48%, draw 25%, Juventus II 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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