Virtus Verona 1-2 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
4.97
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.31/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.39
+8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-2 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
08.12.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
26.03.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
27.11.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-2 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
29.01.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
26.09.2021 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-2
AWAY Pergolettese
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese nicked a narrow win over Virtus Verona 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Pergolettese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 61% of the ball to Pergolettese's 39%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pergolettese led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Virtus Verona and 1.33 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese?

Virtus Verona 1-2 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 40%, draw 31%, Pergolettese 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Verona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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