Lumezzane 1-3 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-11.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 56%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.81/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.74
+91% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
1W-0D-4L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
14.11.2015 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 2-1 HT 1-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
01.05.2015 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 2-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
20.12.2014 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-3 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
29.10.2014 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTCK
19.01.2014 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-3
AWAY FeralpiSalo
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo saw off Lumezzane 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day FeralpiSalo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lumezzane had 48% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 52%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Lumezzane and 1.60 for FeralpiSalo.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs FeralpiSalo?

Lumezzane 1-3 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie C on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 32%, draw 28%, FeralpiSalo 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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